Sport Picks
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Piratas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio 10 de Diciembre, Jasso 
Match Events
10'
10'
Ramirez D.
33'
33'
Castaneda E.
Assist: Gonzalez K.
35'
35'
Sub
Ramirez D. In: Villegas E.
Out: Ramirez D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Piratas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Piratas haven't matched Cruz Azul Hidalgo's recent run of results.
- Model gives Piratas a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 12%
Piratas Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | Piratas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 11 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Piratas
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Compare
Top Goalscorer Castaneda E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Piratas Compare
Top Goalscorer Soto O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 14 / 100
Piratas 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Piratas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Piratas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cruz Azul Hidalgo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Piratas conceded in 64% of 11 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul Hidalgo VS Piratas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
(Home) 03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
15 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Club Atletico Morelia
01 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Venados FC
Page 1 of 3
Piratas
(Away) 04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1 Correcaminos
Page 1 of 3
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
30 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 1 Piratas
15 Aug
Atletico La Paz
2 : 0 Piratas
08 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
0 : 3 Piratas
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
