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Cruz Azul U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Esparza R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Cruz Azul U21 and Atletico San Luis U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruz Azul U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cruz Azul U21
15%
Draws
57%
Atletico San Luis U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico San Luis U21 come out ahead of Cruz Azul U21 on wins alone.
  • Cruz Azul U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cruz Azul U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico San Luis U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul U21 Atletico San Luis U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21
1:0
Aug 11, 2025 Liga MX U21
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Esparza R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atletico San Luis U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul U21 59 / 100
Atletico San Luis U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul U21 Atletico San Luis U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruz Azul U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cruz Azul U21 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico San Luis U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Atletico San Luis U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul U21 VS Atletico San Luis U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club America U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
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Atletico San Luis U21

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
12 Sept
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)