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Cruz Azul U21 vs Puebla U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Torres D.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Montano A.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Alves F.

AI Match Summary

Puebla U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cruz Azul U21
15%
Draws
42%
Puebla U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cruz Azul U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cruz Azul U21 have won more games recently than Puebla U21.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cruz Azul U21 taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cruz Azul U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul U21 Puebla U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Puebla U21
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Puebla U21
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Puebla U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul U21 42 / 100
Puebla U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul U21 Puebla U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul U21 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Puebla U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Puebla U21 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul U21 VS Puebla U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul U21

(Home)
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club America U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
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Puebla U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
18 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Atlante U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Toluca U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
29 Aug
Club America U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)