Sport Picks
Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 
Match Events
13'
13'
Camacho X.
26'
26'
Chavez Lopez A. A.
45'
45'
Castro A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX U21 game between Cruz Azul U21 and Toluca U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Toluca U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Toluca U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21
2:3
Feb 7, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21
0:0
Nov 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
1:4
Aug 23, 2025 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Camacho X.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Toluca U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Chavez Lopez A. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diaz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul U21 19 / 100
Toluca U21 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul U21 Toluca U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Cruz Azul U21's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Toluca U21 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Cruz Azul U21 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul U21 VS Toluca U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul U21
(Home) 26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0 Cruz Azul U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2 Club America U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0 Santos Laguna U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1 Cruz Azul U21
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26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2 Club America U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0 Santos Laguna U21
22 Aug
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 2 Atlas U21
01 Aug
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1 Atlante U21
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Toluca U21
(Away) 26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Santos Laguna U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Atlas U21
30 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Juarez U21
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26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2 Toluca U21
15 Aug
Atlante U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
18 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Puebla U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Club America U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Monterrey U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Necaxa U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Atlante U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Juarez U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 17 | Tigres UANL U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 10 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)
