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Cruz Azul vs Atlante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Calzadilla L.
44' Event
Puente L.
Assist: Portales W.
47' Event
Calzadilla L.
Assist: Julio J.

AI Match Summary

Atlante in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cruz Azul
35%
Draws
35%
Atlante
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atlante haven't matched Cruz Azul's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cruz Azul a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 18%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Atlante
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Atlante
2:3
Feb 18, 2016 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Cruz Azul
2:3
Feb 3, 2016 Copa Mexico
Cruz Azul vs Atlante
1:1
Aug 26, 2015 Copa Mexico
Cruz Azul vs Atlante
1:0
Aug 19, 2015 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Cruz Azul
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palavecino A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Puente L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calzadilla L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul 36 / 100
Atlante 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Atlante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Atlante let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cruz Azul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul VS Atlante
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul

(Home)
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 6

Atlante

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)