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Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Ditta W.
31'
Dithejane P.
44'
Sub
Piovi G. In: Romero L.
Out: Piovi G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cruz Azul
30%
Draws
41%
Chicago Fire
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chicago Fire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chicago Fire carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cruz Azul are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Chicago Fire arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chicago Fire, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 16%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruz Azul Chicago Fire
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Leagues Cup
Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire
1:2
Jul 24, 2019 Leagues Cup
Chicago Fire vs Cruz Azul
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cruz Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Dithejane P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruz Azul 36 / 100
Chicago Fire 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruz Azul Chicago Fire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Chicago Fire conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Cruz Azul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cruz Azul VS Chicago Fire
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruz Azul

(Home)
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 6

Chicago Fire

(Away)
07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)