Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Rodriguez J.
Assist: de la Rosa R.
22'
22'
Sub
Aceves A. In: Arteaga G.
Out: Aceves A.
29'
29'
Frayde C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cruz Azul have won more games recently than Monterrey.
- Monterrey are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Cruz Azul have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cruz Azul, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cruz Azul | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 18, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey
1:1
Mar 11, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul
2:3
Mar 1, 2026 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cruz Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Paradela J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Monterrey Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cruz Azul 22 / 100
Monterrey 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cruz Azul Monterrey
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monterrey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cruz Azul found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Monterrey let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Cruz Azul stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cruz Azul VS Monterrey
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cruz Azul
(Home) 17 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 1 Cruz Azul
14 Aug
Cruz Azul
1 : 2 Chicago Fire
09 Aug
Cruz Azul
2 : 1 New York City
07 Aug
Cruz Azul
1 : 0 Philadelphia Union
02 Aug
Cruz Azul
2 : 3 Atlante
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Cruz Azul
1 : 2 Chicago Fire
09 Aug
Cruz Azul
2 : 1 New York City
07 Aug
Cruz Azul
1 : 0 Philadelphia Union
02 Aug
Cruz Azul
2 : 3 Atlante
22 Jul
Cruz Azul
2 : 1 Puebla
Page 1 of 4
Monterrey
(Away) 16 Aug
Monterrey
6 : 1 Juarez
13 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1 Nashville SC
09 Aug
Inter Miami
1 : 2 Monterrey
05 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 2 Orlando City
02 Aug
Atlas
0 : 2 Monterrey
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Inter Miami
1 : 2 Monterrey
02 Aug
Atlas
0 : 2 Monterrey
26 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1 Monterrey
04 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1 Monterrey
21 Jun
Cancun
1 : 4 Monterrey
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Toluca -
TBD -
UNAM Pumas 2
San Diego FC 4
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
Los Angeles Galaxy 1
Sporting San Miguelito 1
Cruz Azul 8
Vancouver FC 0
Monterrey 3
Xelaju 1
Alajuelense -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC 7
Real Espana 1
Inter Miami -
TBD -
Nashville SC 7
Atletico Ottawa 0
Club America 2
Olimpia 1
Philadelphia Union 12
Defence Force 0
Tigres UANL 4
Forge FC 1
FC Cincinnati 13
Universidad O&M 0
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Cartagines 0
1/8-finals
Toluca 6
San Diego FC 3
Mount Pleasant 0
Los Angeles Galaxy 6
Cruz Azul 4
Monterrey 3
Alajuelense 2
Los Angeles FC 3
Inter Miami 1
Nashville SC 1
Club America 2
Philadelphia Union 1
Tigres UANL 5
FC Cincinnati 4
Seattle Sounders 5
Vancouver Whitecaps 1
Quarter-finals
Toluca 7
Los Angeles Galaxy 2
Cruz Azul 1
Los Angeles FC 4
Nashville SC 1
Club America 0
Tigres UANL 3
Seattle Sounders 3
Semi-finals
Toluca 5
Los Angeles FC 2
Nashville SC 0
Tigres UANL 2
Final
Toluca 2
Tigres UANL 1
