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Cruzeiro-PB U20 vs Sousa U20

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cruzeiro-PB U20 play Sousa U20 in the Paraibano U20. Cruzeiro-PB U20 are favorites here. Recently, Cruzeiro-PB U20 averaged 2.04 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Sousa U20 averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Cruzeiro-PB U20 won 3, Sousa U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Cruzeiro-PB U20 and 1.00 for Sousa U20. This points to a Cruzeiro-PB U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Cruzeiro-PB U20
25%
Draws
15%
Sousa U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Cruzeiro-PB U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Cruzeiro-PB U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sousa U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Cruzeiro-PB U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Sousa U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro-PB U20 Sousa U20
Matches Played 26 19
Wins 18 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.04 1.42
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Paraibano U20
Cruzeiro-PB U20 vs Sousa U20
1:0
Jun 20, 2026 Paraibano U20
Sousa U20 vs Cruzeiro-PB U20
1:2
Jun 25, 2024 Paraibano U20
Sousa U20 vs Cruzeiro-PB U20
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro-PB U20 59 / 100
Sousa U20 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro-PB U20 Sousa U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro-PB U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cruzeiro-PB U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cruzeiro-PB U20 attacking → ← attacking Sousa U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruzeiro-PB U20 scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Sousa U20 let in goals in 63% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Cruzeiro-PB U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sousa U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 19
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75