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Cruzeiro-PB vs EC de Patos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with EC de Patos advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Cruzeiro-PB
20%
Draws
36%
EC de Patos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cruzeiro-PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Cruzeiro-PB haven't matched EC de Patos's recent run of results.
  • Cruzeiro-PB are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • EC de Patos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor EC de Patos, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors EC de Patos here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cruzeiro-PB Clean Sheet 68%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cruzeiro-PB EC de Patos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Cruzeiro-PB
1:1
Sep 30, 2024 Paraibano 2
Cruzeiro-PB vs EC de Patos
1:2
Sep 5, 2024 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Cruzeiro-PB
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cruzeiro-PB 68 / 100
EC de Patos 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cruzeiro-PB EC de Patos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro-PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Cruzeiro-PB remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Cruzeiro-PB scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

EC de Patos has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cruzeiro-PB VS EC de Patos
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cruzeiro-PB

(Home)
08 Oct
Spartax
1 : 2
Cruzeiro-PB
05 Oct
Sport PB
0 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
30 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
3 : 1
Femar
27 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 0
Cruzeiro-PB
23 Sept
Auto Esporte
0 : 0
Cruzeiro-PB
Page 1 of 6

EC de Patos

(Away)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spartax 1
Picuiense 2
Auto Esporte -
TBD -
Queimadense 2
Cruzeiro-PB 4
EC de Patos -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Picuiense 0
Auto Esporte 4
Cruzeiro-PB 2
EC de Patos 3
Final
Auto Esporte 1
EC de Patos 0