Sport Picks
Crystal Palace vs Millwall
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Selhurst Park, London 
Match Events
23'
23'
Sub
Kelly D. In: Ballo T.
Out: Kelly D.
46'
46'
Sub
Esse R. In: Uche C.
Out: Esse R.
46'
46'
Sub
Ivanovic M. In: Coburn J.
Out: Ivanovic M.
AI Match Summary
Crystal Palace in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Millwall
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Millwall lately — more wins on the board than Crystal Palace.
- Model gives Millwall a 45% chance of winning this.
- Millwall arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Crystal Palace, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Crystal Palace here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 19%
Millwall Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crystal Palace | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2025 EFL Cup
Crystal Palace vs Millwall
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Crystal Palace vs Millwall
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 FA Cup
Crystal Palace vs Millwall
3:1
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Crystal Palace vs Millwall
5:4
Jan 8, 2022 FA Cup
Millwall vs Crystal Palace
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crystal Palace Compare
Top Goalscorer Richards C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Millwall Compare
Top Goalscorer Leonard R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crystal Palace 24 / 100
Millwall 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crystal Palace Millwall
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Millwall Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Crystal Palace scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Millwall conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Crystal Palace stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Crystal Palace VS Millwall
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Crystal Palace
(Home) 15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0 Crystal Palace
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2 Crystal Palace
31 Jul
Crystal Palace
3 : 1 Al-Ula
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1 Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3 Lens
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Crystal Palace
3 : 1 Al-Ula
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3 Lens
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1 Swindon
27 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
24 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 2 Arsenal
Page 1 of 3
Millwall
(Away) 15 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 2 Millwall
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2 Millwall
01 Aug
Millwall
1 : 0 Antwerp
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1 Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 2 Millwall
08 Aug
QPR
1 : 2 Millwall
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1 Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0 Millwall
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
