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Crystal Palace W vs Chelsea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL VBS Community Stadium, London
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace W host Chelsea W in the WSL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Crystal Palace W at 1.68 goals for, 1.29 against; Chelsea W at 2.39 for, 0.87 against. Head-to-head, Crystal Palace W have won 0 to Chelsea W's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 5:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.88) point toward Chelsea W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Crystal Palace W
30%
Draws
43%
Chelsea W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Chelsea W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular WSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chelsea W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Crystal Palace W Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace W Chelsea W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 17 23
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.68 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Crystal Palace W
5:0
Apr 23, 2025 WSL
Chelsea W vs Crystal Palace W
4:0
Mar 9, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Crystal Palace W
1:0
Sep 27, 2024 WSL
Crystal Palace W vs Chelsea W
0:7
Feb 11, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Crystal Palace W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace W 34 / 100
Chelsea W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace W Chelsea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Crystal Palace W scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Crystal Palace W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Chelsea W has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace W VS Chelsea W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace W

(Home)
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1
Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Crystal Palace W
3 : 0
Charlton W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0
Watford W
20 Sept
Crystal Palace W
0 : 7
Tottenham W
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Chelsea W

(Away)
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)