Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CS Italien vs Basel

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Delgado M.
30' Event
Embolo B.
53' Event
Frei F.

AI Match Summary

Basel in this Swiss Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CS Italien
15%
Draws
85%
Basel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CS Italien haven't matched Basel's recent run of results.
  • Basel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Basel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Basel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CS Italien Clean Sheet 10%
Basel Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Italien Basel
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 4
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1 1.79
Goals Conceded 5.5 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2014 Swiss Cup
CS Italien vs Basel
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CS Italien Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Embolo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Italien 10 / 100
Basel 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Italien Basel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

CS Italien scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Basel has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Basel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CS Italien VS Basel
1 Goals Scored 0.88
8 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Italien

(Home)
16 Aug
CS Italien
1 : 8
Lausanne Ouchy
20 Aug
CS Italien
2 : 5
Lausanne Ouchy
23 Aug
CS Italien
0 : 4
Basel
15 Sept
CS Italien
1 : 5
Schaffhausen

Basel

(Away)
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zurich 7
FC Schonbuhl 0
Pratteln 0
Black Stars 8
Greifensee 2
Subingen 1
SC Dudingen 1
Cham 2
Lugano 2
Old Boys 1
Visp 1
Tagerwilen 4
Xamax 2
Etoile-Carouge 1
Vedeggio 0
Grasshoppers 2
Aarau 7
Taverne 1
Mendrisio 0
Chiasso 2
Schaffhausen 4
Perly-Certoux 2
Konolfingen 0
Luzern 9
Koniz 5
Nottwil 0
Murten 0
Stade Nyonnais 4
Biel 1
Terre Sainte 0
La Chaux-De-Fonds 1
Sion 3
St. Gallen 3
Baden 0
Rothrist 0
Le Mont 1
Lausanne 3
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Breitenrain 2
Thun 3
Schotz 4
Stade Payerne 1
Tuggen 1
Hergiswil 2
Young Boys 1
Bavois 0
Frauenfeld 0
Buochs 1
Munsingen 1
Lausanne Ouchy 0
Audax-Friul 0
Locarno 2
Henau 3
Veltheim 2
Dietikon 0
Wil 4
Wohlen 3
Muri 0
Sirnach 0
Servette 8
Winterthur 3
Eschenbach 1
CS Italien 0
Basel 4
1/16-finals
Zurich 2
Black Stars 1
Greifensee 2
Cham 3
Lugano 9
Tagerwilen 3
Xamax 3
Grasshoppers 5
Aarau 1
Chiasso 0
Schaffhausen 3
Luzern 5
Koniz 2
Stade Nyonnais 1
Biel 0
Sion 1
St. Gallen 2
Le Mont 1
Lausanne 0
Thun 1
Schotz 3
Hergiswil 1
Young Boys 0
Buochs 1
Munsingen 1
Locarno 0
Henau 2
Wil 3
Wohlen 2
Servette 1
Winterthur 0
Basel 4
1/8-finals
Zurich 5
Cham 0
Lugano 0
Grasshoppers 1
Aarau 2
Luzern 1
Koniz 0
Sion 3
St. Gallen 2
Thun 1
Schotz 0
Buochs 2
Munsingen 3
Wil 2
Wohlen 1
Basel 3
Quarter-finals
Zurich 1
Grasshoppers 0
Aarau 1
Sion 2
St. Gallen 5
Buochs 0
Munsingen 1
Basel 6
Semi-finals
Zurich 0
Sion 1
St. Gallen 1
Basel 3
Final
Sion 3
Basel 0