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CS Maruinense vs Estanciano EC

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CS Maruinense
15%
Draws
58%
Estanciano EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estanciano EC come out ahead of CS Maruinense on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Estanciano EC taking it.
  • Estanciano EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Estanciano EC, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Estanciano EC here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 20%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Maruinense Estanciano EC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Sergipano 3
Estanciano EC vs CS Maruinense
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Sergipano 3
CS Maruinense vs Estanciano EC
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Sergipano 3
Estanciano EC vs CS Maruinense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Maruinense 24 / 100
Estanciano EC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Maruinense Estanciano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: CS Maruinense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

CS Maruinense's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Estanciano EC has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

CS Maruinense VS Estanciano EC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Maruinense

(Home)
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

Estanciano EC

(Away)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Socorro 4
Botafogo ASF 2
Sete de Junho 2
Socorrense 5
Estanciano EC 3
Santa Cruz SE 0
Propria 0
CS Maruinense 4
Semi-finals
Socorro 2
Socorrense 3
Estanciano EC 4
CS Maruinense 0
Final
Socorrense 1
Estanciano EC 2