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CS Maruinense vs Riachao

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
CS Maruinense Logo

CS Maruinense

1 - 0
FT
Riachao Logo

Riachao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between CS Maruinense and Riachao finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CS Maruinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CS Maruinense
20%
Draws
10%
Riachao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CS Maruinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CS Maruinense come out ahead of Riachao on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CS Maruinense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 20%
Riachao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Maruinense Riachao
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 6 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.8 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 Sergipano 3
CS Maruinense vs Riachao
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Maruinense 85 / 100
Riachao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Maruinense Riachao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Maruinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riachao let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Solid form: CS Maruinense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Riachao's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: CS Maruinense scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

CS Maruinense VS Riachao
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Maruinense

(Home)
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

Riachao

(Away)
11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0
Riachao
05 Oct
Riachao
0 : 3
Estanciano EC
02 Oct
CS Maruinense
1 : 0
Riachao
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)