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CS Sanem vs FC Marisca Mersch

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with FC Marisca Mersch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CS Sanem
40%
Draws
29%
FC Marisca Mersch
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • CS Sanem haven't matched FC Marisca Mersch's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • FC Marisca Mersch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Marisca Mersch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
CS Sanem Clean Sheet 10%
FC Marisca Mersch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Sanem FC Marisca Mersch
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 6 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2022 Luxembourg Cup
CS Sanem vs FC Marisca Mersch
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Sanem 30 / 100
FC Marisca Mersch 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Sanem FC Marisca Mersch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Marisca Mersch let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

CS Sanem's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Away concern: FC Marisca Mersch has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CS Sanem VS FC Marisca Mersch
1 Goals Scored 1
6 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Sanem

(Home)
21 Sept
CS Sanem
1 : 6
Mondorf
01 Oct
CS Sanem
1 : 3
Racing Luxembourg
02 Oct
CS Sanem
1 : 3
FC Marisca Mersch
03 Oct
CS Sanem
0 : 2
Esch
18 Oct
CS Sanem
2 : 0
Bettembourg
Page 1 of 3

FC Marisca Mersch

(Away)
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2
Ettelbruck
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0
FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4
FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
1 : 5
Bissen
10 Nov
Kaerjeng
2 : 1
FC Marisca Mersch
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Red Star Merl/Belair0
Blo Weiss Medernach1
Diekirch1
Luxembourg City4
Syra Mensdorf2
FC Rodange 911
CS Sanem1
FC Marisca Mersch3
Les Ardoisiers Perle1
Jeunesse Esch14
Jeunesse Gilsdorf0
Wiltz5
FC Residence Walferdange1
FC Mamer2
Koeppchen1
Hostert2
Echternach3
Bissen2
Mertzig0
Mondorf4
Cebra4
Jeunesse Junglinster2
Sporting Bertrange1
UNA Strassen8
US Feulen4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler3
Pratzerthal/Redange0
Berdenia Berbourg5
Avenir Beggen2
Jeunesse Canach0
FC 47 Bastendorf0
Racing Luxembourg4
FF Norden1
Grevenmacher4
Racing Troisvierges0
Differdange12
FC Red Black/Egalite 071
Alisontia Steinsel0
Harlange/Tarchamps0
Hesperange9
Clemency1
Rumelange4
US Sandweiler2
Jeunesse Schieren3
AS Wincrange0
Progres Niedercorn6
AS Luxembourg/Porto0
Kaerjeng5
Union Remich/Bous1
Ettelbruck3
Blo Weiss Itzig0
Union Titus Petange2
Esch1
Bettembourg7
FC Munsbach1
Dudelange5
Steinfort0
Mondercange8
Lorentzweiler0
Victoria Rosport3
FC Schengen3
Schifflange2
Kehlen0
Fola6
1/16-finals
Blo Weiss Medernach1
Luxembourg City4
Syra Mensdorf0
FC Marisca Mersch2
Jeunesse Esch0
Wiltz1
FC Mamer2
Hostert5
Echternach0
Mondorf7
Cebra1
UNA Strassen6
US Feulen1
Berdenia Berbourg2
Avenir Beggen0
Racing Luxembourg3
Grevenmacher0
Differdange2
FC Red Black/Egalite 071
Hesperange5
Rumelange3
Jeunesse Schieren1
Progres Niedercorn1
Kaerjeng0
Ettelbruck2
Union Titus Petange3
Bettembourg1
Dudelange4
Mondercange0
Victoria Rosport2
FC Schengen1
Fola3
1/8-finals
Luxembourg City0
FC Marisca Mersch6
Wiltz4
Hostert1
Mondorf2
UNA Strassen1
Berdenia Berbourg0
Racing Luxembourg4
Differdange1
Hesperange0
Rumelange1
Progres Niedercorn3
Union Titus Petange2
Dudelange3
Victoria Rosport2
Fola0
Quarter-finals
FC Marisca Mersch3
Wiltz1
Mondorf1
Racing Luxembourg0
Differdange3
Progres Niedercorn2
Dudelange2
Victoria Rosport3
Semi-finals
FC Marisca Mersch2
Mondorf1
Differdange1
Victoria Rosport0
Final
FC Marisca Mersch2
Differdange4