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CS Sfaxien vs Esperance Tunis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade Taïeb Mehiri, Sfax
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CS Sfaxien host Esperance Tunis in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: CS Sfaxien at 1.48 goals for, 0.39 against; Esperance Tunis at 1.66 for, 0.72 against. Head-to-head, CS Sfaxien have won 0 to Esperance Tunis's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.88, favoring CS Sfaxien. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CS Sfaxien
15%
Draws
46%
Esperance Tunis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperance Tunis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CS Sfaxien lately — more wins on the board than Esperance Tunis.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet 20%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Sfaxien Esperance Tunis
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 22 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.39 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Super Cup
Esperance Tunis vs CS Sfaxien
0:0
Apr 30, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs CS Sfaxien
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Esperance Tunis
1:2
May 3, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Esperance Tunis vs CS Sfaxien
1:0
Dec 29, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Esperance Tunis
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Sfaxien 31 / 100
Esperance Tunis 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Sfaxien Esperance Tunis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Sfaxien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Sfaxien found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: CS Sfaxien remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Esperance Tunis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CS Sfaxien VS Esperance Tunis
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Sfaxien

(Home)
20 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
Shooting
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0
CS Sfaxien
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
Page 1 of 7

Esperance Tunis

(Away)
04 Oct
Esperance Tunis
3 : 1
Military Union
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1
Esperance Tunis
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)