Sport Picks
CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Sahel
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Taïeb Mehiri, Sfax 
Match Events
1'
1'
Ben Ali O.
24'
24'
Sub
Ogbole E. In: Mhadhebi M. S.
Out: Ogbole E.
29'
29'
Ben Ali O.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between CS Sfaxien and Etoile Sahel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CS Sfaxien.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CS Sfaxien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- CS Sfaxien carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CS Sfaxien's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- CS Sfaxien have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CS Sfaxien | Etoile Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.43 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Sahel
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
0:1
May 15, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Sahel
0:1
Jun 15, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CS Sfaxien Compare
Top Goalscorer Ben Ali O.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Etoile Sahel Compare
Top Goalscorer Abid O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CS Sfaxien 68 / 100
Etoile Sahel 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CS Sfaxien Etoile Sahel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CS Sfaxien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: CS Sfaxien scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Etoile Sahel let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: CS Sfaxien remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CS Sfaxien VS Etoile Sahel
1.38 Goals Scored 1.14
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.71
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
CS Sfaxien
(Home) 16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0 Shooting
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0 CS Sfaxien
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Zarzis
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0 Shooting
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Zarzis
09 Aug
CS Sfaxien
1 : 0 San Pedro
24 May
CS Sfaxien
0 : 1 Zarzis
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 4
Etoile Sahel
(Away) 12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
04 May
Zarzis
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
29 Apr
Metlaoui
2 : 0 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
