Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CS Uruguay vs FC Moravia

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Martinez J.
63' Event
Jimenez A.
67' Event
Borbon F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between CS Uruguay and FC Moravia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CS Uruguay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CS Uruguay
15%
Draws
39%
FC Moravia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CS Uruguay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CS Uruguay come out ahead of FC Moravia on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 19%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Uruguay FC Moravia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs FC Moravia
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs FC Moravia
3:1
Jan 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs CS Uruguay
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs CS Uruguay
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs FC Moravia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CS Uruguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borbon F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Moravia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Uruguay 36 / 100
FC Moravia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Uruguay FC Moravia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Moravia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Uruguay's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Moravia conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

CS Uruguay has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CS Uruguay VS FC Moravia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Uruguay

(Home)
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
CS Uruguay
18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0
CS Uruguay
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
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FC Moravia

(Away)
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3
Carmelita
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)