Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSA vs Alianca

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
Sat, Mar 14, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. CSA have averaged 1.76 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Alianca's 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, CSA have won 1 to Alianca's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 2.25) point toward CSA. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CSA
20%
Draws
40%
Alianca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CSA have won more games recently than Alianca.
  • Model gives Alianca a 40% chance of winning this.
  • CSA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianca, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
CSA Clean Sheet 10%
Alianca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSA Alianca
Matches Played 45 26
Wins 26 7
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.76 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs Alianca
0:0
Feb 2, 2023 Alagoano
CSA vs Alianca
1:2
Jan 20, 2022 Alagoano
Alianca vs CSA
1:3
Apr 20, 2021 Alagoano
Alianca vs CSA
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSA 26 / 100
Alianca 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSA Alianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSA found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (45 games).

Alianca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

CSA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSA VS Alianca
2.38 Goals Scored 3.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSA

(Home)
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
19 Jul
Sao Luiz
0 : 0
CSA
13 Jul
CSA
4 : 0
Betim FC
Page 1 of 9

Alianca

(Away)
17 May
Zumbi
1 : 0
Alianca
10 May
Alianca
0 : 0
Zumbi
02 May
Alianca
9 : 0
Jacioba
26 Apr
Sao Domingos AL
2 : 6
Alianca
22 Apr
Alianca
1 : 6
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 CRB 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Coruripe 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
4 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
5 Dimensao Capela 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
6 Alianca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 5 4 1 0 10:1 13
2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
3 Zumbi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
4 Murici 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
5 SC Penedense 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Miguelense 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)