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CSCD Grecia vs Univ. Cotopaxi

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Serie B 2013 encounter between CSCD Grecia and Univ. Cotopaxi promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. CSCD Grecia averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Univ. Cotopaxi shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for CSCD Grecia, 3 wins for Univ. Cotopaxi, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.10.13 ended in a 5:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.48 for CSCD Grecia and 1.24 for Univ. Cotopaxi, suggesting the primary value lies in the Univ. Cotopaxi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CSCD Grecia
17%
Draws
46%
Univ. Cotopaxi
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Univ. Cotopaxi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • CSCD Grecia picked up more points recently compared to Univ. Cotopaxi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
CSCD Grecia Clean Sheet 19%
Univ. Cotopaxi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSCD Grecia Univ. Cotopaxi
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) N/A 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) N/A 1.75
Possession % N/A N/A
Shots per Match N/A N/A
Shots on Target N/A N/A
Corners per Match N/A N/A
Yellow/Red Cards N/A N/A

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

26.10.13 Serie B
Univ. Cotopaxi vs CSCD Grecia
5:2
10.08.13 Serie B
CSCD Grecia vs Univ. Cotopaxi
2:1
08.06.13 Serie B
CSCD Grecia vs Univ. Cotopaxi
0:1
23.03.13 Serie B
Univ. Cotopaxi vs CSCD Grecia
2:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

CSCD Grecia

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Univ. Cotopaxi

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Squad Roster & Injury Alerts Unavailable

Real-time squad lineups, player goal/assist metrics, and live availability/injury alerts are currently not available. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSCD Grecia 37 / 100
Univ. Cotopaxi 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSCD Grecia Univ. Cotopaxi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Univ. Cotopaxi or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

CSCD Grecia 41%
Univ. Cotopaxi 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

CSCD Grecia 35%
Univ. Cotopaxi 48%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

CSCD Grecia 37%
Univ. Cotopaxi 46%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

CSCD Grecia 39%
Univ. Cotopaxi 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

CSCD Grecia 33%
Univ. Cotopaxi 51%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

CSCD Grecia 43%
Univ. Cotopaxi 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSCD Grecia attacking → ← attacking Univ. Cotopaxi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSCD Grecia have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Univ. Cotopaxi have conceded at least one goal in 85% of their last 33 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.25 goals per match.

CSCD Grecia remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Univ. Cotopaxi suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

History Log Unavailable

Historical prediction accuracy logs and success dashboards require a live connection to a completed tips outcome database. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75
N/A Ball possession % N/A
N/A Shots per game N/A
N/A Shots on target N/A
N/A Corners per game N/A
N/A Cards per game N/A

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837