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Csepel vs ESMTK Budapest

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast
Wed, Aug 5, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Csepel host ESMTK Budapest in the NB III - Southeast. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. ESMTK Budapest have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Csepel have conceded 2 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Csepel have won 3 to ESMTK Budapest's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.31, favoring ESMTK Budapest. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Csepel
6%
Draws
90%
ESMTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • ESMTK Budapest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ESMTK Budapest are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NB III - Southeast form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Csepel Clean Sheet 10%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Csepel ESMTK Budapest
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 24
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Csepel
1:2
Aug 6, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Csepel vs ESMTK Budapest
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 NB III - Southeast
Csepel vs ESMTK Budapest
2:3
Jul 28, 2024 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Csepel
0:0
Jan 25, 2017 Club Friendly
ESMTK Budapest vs Csepel
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Csepel 10 / 100
ESMTK Budapest 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Csepel ESMTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Csepel scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Csepel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

ESMTK Budapest has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Csepel VS ESMTK Budapest
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Csepel

(Home)
25 Jul
III. Keruleti TVE
2 : 0
Csepel
10 Jul
Kaposvar
0 : 0
Csepel
24 May
Honved II
1 : 3
Csepel
17 May
Csepel
1 : 4
Gyulai Termal
10 May
Szegedi
2 : 3
Csepel
Page 1 of 7

ESMTK Budapest

(Away)
26 Jul
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 1
Monori
24 May
ESMTK Budapest
8 : 0
Tiszafoldvar
17 May
III. Keruleti TVE
3 : 1
ESMTK Budapest
10 May
ESMTK Budapest
4 : 0
Hodmezovasarhely
03 May
Bekescsaba 1912 II
1 : 3
ESMTK Budapest
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ujpest II11006:03
2Szolnoki MAV11005:23
3Szeged-Csanad GA II11004:13
4Gyulai Termal11003:03
5III. Keruleti TVE11002:03
6ESMTK Budapest11002:13
7Szegedi10101:11
8Vasas II10101:11
9Honved II10100:01
10Bekescsaba 191210100:01
11Monori10011:20
12Csepel10010:20
13Sandorfalvi10012:50
14FC Dabas10011:40
15Hodmezovasarhely10010:30
16BKV Elore10010:60
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)