Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Csepel vs ESMTK Budapest

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Molnar J.
31' Event
Turi D.
89' Event
Kubitsch K.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southeast game between Csepel and ESMTK Budapest finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Csepel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Csepel
30%
Draws
37%
ESMTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • ESMTK Budapest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular NB III - Southeast form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Csepel Clean Sheet 14%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Csepel ESMTK Budapest
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.97 2.72
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 NB III - Southeast
Csepel vs ESMTK Budapest
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Csepel
1:2
Aug 6, 2025 NB III - Southeast
Csepel vs ESMTK Budapest
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 NB III - Southeast
Csepel vs ESMTK Budapest
2:3
Jul 28, 2024 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs Csepel
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Csepel Compare

Top Goalscorer Turi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kubitsch K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Molnar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Csepel 35 / 100
ESMTK Budapest 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Csepel ESMTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Csepel scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Csepel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

ESMTK Budapest has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Csepel VS ESMTK Budapest
3.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Csepel

(Home)
20 Sept
Vasas II
6 : 0
Csepel
13 Sept
Villanyi
1 : 3
Csepel
05 Sept
Csepel
2 : 2
Bekescsaba 1912
29 Aug
Sandorfalvi
1 : 5
Csepel
26 Aug
Csepel
9 : 1
BKV Elore
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ESMTK Budapest

(Away)
20 Sept
Szeged-Csanad GA II
1 : 1
ESMTK Budapest
13 Sept
Lebeny SE
1 : 7
ESMTK Budapest
06 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
2 : 0
Vasas II
29 Aug
Bekescsaba 1912
3 : 3
ESMTK Budapest
26 Aug
ESMTK Budapest
3 : 0
Sandorfalvi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyulai Termal 8 8 0 0 30:3 24
2 III. Keruleti TVE 8 7 0 1 14:3 21
3 ESMTK Budapest 8 4 3 1 17:9 15
4 Ujpest II 8 4 2 2 23:13 14
5 Szeged-Csanad GA II 8 4 2 2 17:12 14
6 Szolnoki MAV 8 3 4 1 19:18 13
7 Csepel 8 3 3 2 19:14 12
8 Monori 8 3 3 2 18:14 12
9 Vasas II 8 3 2 3 18:11 11
10 FC Dabas 8 3 1 4 12:18 10
11 Honved II 8 2 2 4 15:12 8
12 Bekescsaba 1912 8 1 4 3 10:14 7
13 Hodmezovasarhely 8 1 3 4 10:19 6
14 BKV Elore 8 1 1 6 7:29 4
15 Sandorfalvi 8 1 0 7 5:27 3
16 Szegedi 8 0 2 6 11:29 2
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)