Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSF Balti vs Milsami

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Orasenesc, Balti
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
18'
55'

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga 2025/2026 game between CSF Balti and Milsami finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSF Balti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
CSF Balti
35%
Draws
56%
Milsami
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Milsami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Milsami carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Milsami's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 10%
Milsami Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSF Balti Milsami
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs CSF Balti
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Milsami
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs CSF Balti
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Milsami
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Super Liga
Milsami vs CSF Balti
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSF Balti Compare

Top Goalscorer Focsa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Milsami Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSF Balti 10 / 100
Milsami 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSF Balti Milsami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milsami Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Milsami conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CSF Balti's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: CSF Balti stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSF Balti VS Milsami
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSF Balti

(Home)
22 Aug
CSF Balti
0 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau
15 Aug
Politehnica UTM
6 : 0
CSF Balti
08 Aug
Real Sireti
1 : 1
CSF Balti
02 Aug
CSF Balti
1 : 5
Sheriff Tiraspol
25 Jul
CSF Balti
1 : 4
Dacia Buiucani
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Milsami

(Away)
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
16 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
4 : 2
Milsami
08 Aug
Politehnica UTM
1 : 1
Milsami
01 Aug
Milsami
2 : 2
Real Sireti
26 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Milsami
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrocub Hincesti 10 8 1 1 20:3 40
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 10 7 2 1 14:5 34
3 Zimbru Chisinau 10 5 3 2 18:11 32
4 Milsami 10 2 3 5 5:13 19
5 CSF Balti 10 2 2 6 4:15 16
6 Dacia Buiucani 10 0 1 9 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)