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CSF Balti vs Petrocub Hincesti

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Orasenesc
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSF Balti play Petrocub Hincesti in the Super Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSF Balti averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Petrocub Hincesti averaged 2.1 goals scored and 0.52 conceded. In past meetings, CSF Balti won 0, Petrocub Hincesti won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for CSF Balti and 1.69 for Petrocub Hincesti. This points to a Petrocub Hincesti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
CSF Balti
24%
Draws
51%
Petrocub Hincesti
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Petrocub Hincesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • CSF Balti picked up more points recently compared to Petrocub Hincesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 13%
Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSF Balti Petrocub Hincesti
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 22
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.14 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs CSF Balti
3:0
Apr 22, 2026 Moldovan Cup
CSF Balti vs Petrocub Hincesti
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Petrocub Hincesti
0:2
Mar 4, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Petrocub Hincesti vs CSF Balti
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs CSF Balti
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSF Balti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Petrocub Hincesti Compare

Top Goalscorer Jardan I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSF Balti 25 / 100
Petrocub Hincesti 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSF Balti Petrocub Hincesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Petrocub Hincesti or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSF Balti attacking → ← attacking Petrocub Hincesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSF Balti scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Petrocub Hincesti let in goals in 42% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

CSF Balti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Petrocub Hincesti lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 72
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Petrocub Hincesti1081120:340
2Sheriff Tiraspol1072114:534
3Zimbru Chisinau1053218:1132
4Milsami102355:1319
5CSF Balti102264:1516
6Dacia Buiucani100196:202