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CSF Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Orasenesc
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Bonnah A.
35'
Bely A.
46'
Sub
Botnari I. In: Botan D.
Out: Botnari I.

AI Match Summary

CSF Balti host Zimbru Chisinau in the Super Liga 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: CSF Balti at 0.75 goals for, 1.63 against; Zimbru Chisinau at 2.25 for, 0.75 against. Head-to-head, CSF Balti have won 0 to Zimbru Chisinau's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.94) point toward Zimbru Chisinau. Zimbru Chisinau in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
CSF Balti
17%
Draws
70%
Zimbru Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zimbru Chisinau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Zimbru Chisinau has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CSF Balti.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Zimbru Chisinau.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super Liga 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 10%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSF Balti Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti
3:0
May 2, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti
4:1
Mar 21, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSF Balti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceijas T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fratea V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSF Balti 14 / 100
Zimbru Chisinau 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSF Balti Zimbru Chisinau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSF Balti scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Zimbru Chisinau let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

CSF Balti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zimbru Chisinau lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSF Balti VS Zimbru Chisinau
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrocub Hincesti1081120:340
2Sheriff Tiraspol1072114:534
3Zimbru Chisinau1053218:1132
4Milsami102355:1319
5CSF Balti102264:1516
6Dacia Buiucani100196:202