Sport Picks

Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Orasenesc

CSF Balti

1 - 3

Zimbru Chisinau

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Sub

Botan D. In: Bivol D.

Out: Botan D.

23'

Fratea V.

48'

Kozlovskiy D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga 2025/2026 game between CSF Balti and Zimbru Chisinau finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zimbru Chisinau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

CSF Balti

40%

Draws

29%

Zimbru Chisinau

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Zimbru Chisinau come out ahead of CSF Balti on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Zimbru Chisinau have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

CSF Balti Clean Sheet 11%

Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSF Balti	Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	16
Draws	5	7
Losses	14	7
Goals Scored	0.75	2
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Super Liga

Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

May 2, 2026 Super Liga

Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Mar 21, 2026 Super Liga

CSF Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Nov 9, 2025 Super Liga

CSF Balti vs Zimbru Chisinau

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

1:3

Sep 13, 2025 Super Liga

Zimbru Chisinau vs CSF Balti

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSF Balti Compare

Top Goalscorer Bivol D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlovskiy D.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSF Balti 30 / 100

Zimbru Chisinau 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSF Balti Zimbru Chisinau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

CSF Balti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CSF Balti scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Zimbru Chisinau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSF Balti VS Zimbru Chisinau

0.75 Goals Scored 2

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Petrocub Hincesti	21	14	6	1	44:14	48
2	Zimbru Chisinau	21	13	5	3	52:21	44
3	Sheriff Tiraspol	21	13	2	6	43:17	41
4	Milsami	21	11	4	6	42:25	37
5	CSF Balti	21	8	5	8	27:29	29
6	Dacia Buiucani	21	4	3	14	24:39	15
7	Politehnica UTM	21	4	1	16	24:61	13
8	Sparta Selemet	21	3	2	16	13:63	11