Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Diallo M.
Assist: Rusev G.
22' Event
Karagaren B.
46'
Sub
Tsonev B. In: Maciel F.
Out: Tsonev B.

AI Match Summary

CSKA 1948 Sofia in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
20%
Draws
33%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia have won more games recently than Arda.
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Arda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia Arda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
3:0
Jul 18, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda
1:0
Mar 3, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:0
Oct 21, 2024 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Arda Compare

Top Goalscorer Karagaren B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia 68 / 100
Arda 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia Arda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA 1948 Sofia found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Arda conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: CSKA 1948 Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA 1948 Sofia VS Arda
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Home)
11 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Arda
28 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1 : 0
Spartak Trnava
Page 1 of 6

Arda

(Away)
08 Aug
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Arda
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Arda
24 Jul
Arda
1 : 0
Slavia Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
10 Jul
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Arda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA 1948 Sofia 5 4 1 0 13:6 13
2 Levski Sofia 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Ludogorets 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
4 CSKA Sofia 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
5 Botev Plovdiv 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
6 Arda 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
7 Spartak Varna 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
8 Slavia Sofia 4 1 2 1 4:2 5
9 Lok. Plovdiv 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
10 Lok. Sofia 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
11 Botev Vratsa 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
12 Cherno More 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
13 Septemvri Sofia 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
14 Dunav Ruse 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)