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CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Diallo M.
Assist: Rusev G.
22' Event
Karagaren B.
46'
Sub
Tsonev B. In: Maciel F.
Out: Tsonev B.

AI Match Summary

CSKA 1948 Sofia in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
15%
Draws
26%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia have won more games recently than Arda.
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Arda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia Arda
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
3:0
Jul 18, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda
1:0
Mar 3, 2025 efbet League
Arda vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:0
Oct 21, 2024 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Arda Compare

Top Goalscorer Karagaren B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia 95 / 100
Arda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia Arda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA 1948 Sofia found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Arda conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: CSKA 1948 Sofia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA 1948 Sofia VS Arda
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Home)
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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Arda

(Away)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)