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CSKA Moscow vs Krasnodar

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Feb 3, 2026
3 - 2
04:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gondou L.
28'
Jubal Junior
28'
Douglas Augusto

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between CSKA Moscow and Krasnodar finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CSKA Moscow
35%
Draws
37%
Krasnodar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krasnodar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Krasnodar come out ahead of CSKA Moscow on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 19%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow Krasnodar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.28 2
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Russian Cup
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow
4:0
Mar 4, 2026 Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow vs Krasnodar
3:1
Feb 3, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Krasnodar
3:2
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Krasnodar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Gondou L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krugovoy D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Krasnodar Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobnan M. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guseynov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 32 / 100
Krasnodar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow Krasnodar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krasnodar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: CSKA Moscow scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

CSKA Moscow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Krasnodar let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow VS Krasnodar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow

(Home)
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0
CSKA Moscow
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Krasnodar

(Away)
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0
Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2
Krasnodar
29 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0
FK Rostov
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