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CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Vakhsh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Logo

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

1 - 1
FT
Vakhsh Logo

Vakhsh

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between CSKA Pomir Dushanbe and Vakhsh finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
35%
Draws
35%
Vakhsh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vakhsh come out ahead of CSKA Pomir Dushanbe on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Clean Sheet 15%
Vakhsh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Vakhsh
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 13
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.39 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Vakhsh
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Vakhsh
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vakhsh vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 35 / 100
Vakhsh 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Vakhsh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vakhsh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Vakhsh conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: CSKA Pomir Dushanbe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe VS Vakhsh
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

(Home)
14 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
0 : 3
Ravshan Kulob
06 Sept
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 0
Eskhata
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
26 Jun
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
2 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
Page 1 of 6

Vakhsh

(Away)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
29 Aug
Vakhsh
1 : 1
Istaravshan
15 Aug
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
1 : 1
Vakhsh
01 Aug
Vakhsh
4 : 2
Eskhata
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)