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Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia II vs Rilski Sportist - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia II host Rilski Sportist in the Vtora liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. CSKA Sofia II have averaged 1.82 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Rilski Sportist's 1.22 scored and 1.04 conceded. Past meetings favor CSKA Sofia II slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.25, favoring CSKA Sofia II. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CSKA Sofia II
30%
Draws
27%
Rilski Sportist
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Rilski Sportist haven't matched CSKA Sofia II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia II a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CSKA Sofia II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 19%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia II Rilski Sportist
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.82 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Rilski Sportist vs CSKA Sofia II
0:2
Jun 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs CSKA Sofia II
1:2
Nov 25, 2023 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia II vs Rilski Sportist
4:2
Oct 22, 2022 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia II vs Rilski Sportist
4:0
Aug 6, 2022 Third League - South-West
Rilski Sportist vs CSKA Sofia II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia II 67 / 100
Rilski Sportist 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia II Rilski Sportist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CSKA Sofia II stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CSKA Sofia II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Rilski Sportist let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia II VS Rilski Sportist
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia II

(Home)
23 Oct
CSKA Sofia II
3 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
10 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
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Rilski Sportist

(Away)
23 Oct
Beroe
3 : 1
Rilski Sportist
17 Oct
Rilski Sportist
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
10 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Gorna
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 13 7 4 2 26:12 25
2 Vihren 13 7 4 2 26:13 25
3 Chernomorets 1919 13 7 4 2 22:9 25
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Beroe 13 6 3 4 21:16 21
6 Hebar 13 6 2 5 29:21 20
7 Yantra Gabrovo 13 6 2 5 16:14 20
8 Gorna 13 5 5 3 11:10 20
9 Rilski Sportist 13 5 4 4 15:13 19
10 Marek 13 5 3 5 15:15 18
11 Nesebar 13 5 3 5 21:19 18
12 Spartak Pleven 13 5 2 6 14:24 17
13 Etar 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Ludogorets II 11 4 3 4 12:12 15
15 Svoge 13 2 5 6 9:14 11
16 Montana 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 13 0 1 12 5:36 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)