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CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between CSKA Sofia III and Kostinbrod finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CSKA Sofia III
20%
Draws
34%
Kostinbrod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia III haven't matched Kostinbrod's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on CSKA Sofia III taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSKA Sofia III here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 20%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia III Kostinbrod
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 3
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod
1:0
May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs CSKA Sofia III
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia III 40 / 100
Kostinbrod 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia III Kostinbrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSKA Sofia III scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Kostinbrod let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

CSKA Sofia III went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia III VS Kostinbrod
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia III

(Home)
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
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Kostinbrod

(Away)
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
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