Sport Picks
CSKA Sofia III vs Slivnishki Geroy
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
CSKA Sofia III in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia III.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- CSKA Sofia III have won more games recently than Slivnishki Geroy.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on CSKA Sofia III taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 20%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CSKA Sofia III | Slivnishki Geroy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs CSKA Sofia III
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs CSKA Sofia III
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs CSKA Sofia III
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CSKA Sofia III 49 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CSKA Sofia III Slivnishki Geroy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CSKA Sofia III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: CSKA Sofia III scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Slivnishki Geroy has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: CSKA Sofia III stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CSKA Sofia III VS Slivnishki Geroy
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CSKA Sofia III
(Home) 26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2 Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2 Slavia Sofia 2
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
08 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0 Strumska Slava
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
16 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Rilski Sportist
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Slivnishki Geroy
(Away) 26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia III
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
05 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
3 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
15 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
