Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
CSKA Sofia Logo

CSKA Sofia

3 - 2
FT
Botev Plovdiv Logo

Botev Plovdiv

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Brahimi M.
31'
Sub
Ouorou T. In: Pastor
Out: Ouorou T.
38' Event
Algarra C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
CSKA Sofia
15%
Draws
32%
Botev Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Plovdiv haven't matched CSKA Sofia's recent run of results.
  • CSKA Sofia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSKA Sofia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Botev Plovdiv
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.78 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
1:1
May 26, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
0:4
May 9, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwarts J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pittas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.89

Botev Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Algarra C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chandarov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 95 / 100
Botev Plovdiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Botev Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

CSKA Sofia found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Solid form: CSKA Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Botev Plovdiv's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Botev Plovdiv
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
27 Aug
CSKA Sofia
0 : 2
OFI Crete
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Botev Plovdiv

(Away)
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
10 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
3 : 2
Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 8 8 0 0 21:4 24
2 CSKA Sofia 8 6 2 0 21:6 20
3 Ludogorets 8 6 2 0 14:6 20
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
5 Arda 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Slavia Sofia 8 2 4 2 8:6 10
7 Botev Plovdiv 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
8 Spartak Varna 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
9 Septemvri Sofia 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
10 Botev Vratsa 8 2 1 5 7:17 7
11 Lok. Plovdiv 8 2 0 6 4:10 6
12 Cherno More 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
13 Lok. Sofia 8 0 4 4 10:16 4
14 Dunav Ruse 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
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