Sport Picks

Europe

Europa League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia

CSKA Sofia

3 - 2

Derry City

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Pittas I.

Assist: Godoy L.

31'

Boyce L.

Assist: Duffy M.

41'

Jordao B.

Assist: Sensi S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

CSKA Sofia

20%

Draws

40%

Derry City

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

CSKA Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives CSKA Sofia a 40% chance of winning this.
CSKA Sofia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor CSKA Sofia, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and CSKA Sofia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Derry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSKA Sofia	Derry City
Matches Played	26	29
Wins	16	10
Draws	4	10
Losses	6	9
Goals Scored	1.81	1.55
Goals Conceded	1.19	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Europa League

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

1:2

Jul 9, 2026 Europa League

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City

3:2

Aug 6, 2009 Europa League

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

1:1

Jul 30, 2009 Europa League

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pittas I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jordao B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyce L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Olayinka J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 86 / 100

Derry City 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSKA Sofia Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSKA Sofia scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Derry City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CSKA Sofia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Derry City

2 Goals Scored 1.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)

12 Sept

CSKA Sofia

4 : 1

Arda

09 Sept

Levski Sofia

2 : 4

CSKA Sofia

05 Sept

Spartak Varna

1 : 1

CSKA Sofia

30 Aug

CSKA Sofia

3 : 1

Cherno More

27 Aug

CSKA Sofia

0 : 2

OFI Crete

Page 1 of 6

Derry City

(Away)

11 Sept

Shelbourne

0 : 1

Derry City

06 Sept

Derry City

4 : 2

Dundalk

30 Aug

Derry City

3 : 3

Shamrock Rovers

21 Aug

Bohemians

5 : 3

Derry City

14 Aug

UC Dublin

1 : 2

Derry City

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente -

TBD -

Vojvodina 1

Ferencvaros 5

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 3

Zilina 2

TBD -

Pafos -

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Universitatea Cluj 0

TBD -

PAOK -

Hammarby -

TBD -

Anderlecht -

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Besiktas -

TBD -

Midtjylland -

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen -

TBD -

Benfica -

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 1

Aluminij 0

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Qarabag Agdam 6

Vestri 0

CSKA Sofia 5

Derry City 3

Quarter-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente 3

Ferencvaros 4

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 2

Pafos 4

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 2

PAOK 5

Hammarby 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso 1

Hradec Kralove 4

Besiktas 3

Midtjylland 0

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen 2

Benfica 6

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 6

Qarabag Agdam 0

CSKA Sofia 1

Semi-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Ferencvaros 2

Gornik Zabrze 1

KuPS 2

Univ. Craiova 3

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps 1

Omonia 2

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers 4

KF Egnatia 6

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia 3

Rangers 2

Larne 1

Iberia 1999 2

Mjallby -

TBD -

Pafos 3

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

PAOK 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan 6

Klaksvik 0

Thun 5

Vikingur Reykjavik 3

Hradec Kralove 0

Besiktas 2

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

Benfica 7

Hearts 2

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

CSKA Sofia 4

Final

Trabzonspor 0

Ferencvaros 5

Univ. Craiova 1

Ararat-Armenia 2

St. Truiden 3

Omonia 4

Crvena zvezda 4

Plzen 5

KF Egnatia 1

Lillestrom 2

Jagiellonia 6

Iberia 1999 1

Mjallby 0

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty 0

Anderlecht 6

Lech Poznan 9

Thun 2

Besiktas 3

FK Kauno Zalgiris 1

Benfica 6

Aarhus 2

OFI Crete 5

CSKA Sofia 0

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City

Europe

CSKA Sofia

Derry City

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

CSKA Sofia Compare

Derry City Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

Derry City

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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