Sport Picks

Europe

Europa League National Stadium Vasil Levski

CSKA Sofia

3 - 2

Derry City

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Pittas I.

Assist: Godoy L.

31'

Boyce L.

Assist: Duffy M.

41'

Jordao B.

Assist: Sensi S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Europa League game between CSKA Sofia and Derry City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

CSKA Sofia

11%

Draws

Derry City

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

CSKA Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives CSKA Sofia a 80% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors CSKA Sofia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Derry City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSKA Sofia	Derry City
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	18	8
Draws	3	11
Losses	6	9
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Europa League

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Jul 9, 2026 Europa League

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Aug 6, 2009 Europa League

Derry City vs CSKA Sofia

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Jul 30, 2009 Europa League

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pittas I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jordao B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyce L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Olayinka J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 86 / 100

Derry City 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSKA Sofia Derry City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Derry City has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

CSKA Sofia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Derry City

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Hammarby-

TBD-

Anderlecht-

Qarabag Agdam6

Vestri0

CSKA Sofia5

Derry City3

Tromso-

TBD-

Hradec Kralove-

Twente-

TBD-

Vojvodina1

Ferencvaros5

Besiktas-

TBD-

Midtjylland-

Hajduk Split3

Zilina2

TBD-

Pafos-

Sheriff Tiraspol1

Aluminij0

TBD-

Maccabi Tel Aviv-

St. Gallen-

TBD-

Benfica-

Dynamo Kyiv1

Universitatea Cluj0

TBD-

PAOK-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Hammarby-

Anderlecht-

Qarabag Agdam-

CSKA Sofia-

Tromso-

Hradec Kralove-

Twente-

Ferencvaros-

Besiktas-

Midtjylland-

Hajduk Split-

Pafos-

Sheriff Tiraspol-

Maccabi Tel Aviv-

St. Gallen-

Benfica-

Dynamo Kyiv-

PAOK-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-