Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia vs Derry City

Europe Europe

Europa League National Stadium Vasil Levski
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia play Derry City in the Europa League. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSKA Sofia averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Derry City averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, CSKA Sofia won 1, Derry City won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 6, 2009 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for CSKA Sofia and 1.31 for Derry City. This points to a CSKA Sofia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
CSKA Sofia
28%
Draws
50%
Derry City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Derry City.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Derry City.
  • Cup tournament structure in Europa League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 18%
Derry City Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Derry City
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2009 Europa League
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
1:1
Jul 30, 2009 Europa League
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 23 / 100
Derry City 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Derry City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia scored in 76% of their last 25 games.

Derry City let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

CSKA Sofia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Derry City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Derry City
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hammarby-
TBD-
TBD-
Anderlecht-
Qarabag Agdam-
Vestri-
CSKA Sofia-
Derry City-
Tromso-
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Hradec Kralove-
Twente-
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Vojvodina-
Ferencvaros-
Besiktas-
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Midtjylland-
Hajduk Split-
Zilina-
TBD-
Pafos-
Sheriff Tiraspol-
Aluminij-
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Maccabi Tel Aviv-
St. Gallen-
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Benfica-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Universitatea Cluj-
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Quarter-finals
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