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CSKA Sofia vs Korona Kielce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Stepinski M.
80' Event
Stepinski M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between CSKA Sofia and Korona Kielce finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Korona Kielce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CSKA Sofia
30%
Draws
27%
Korona Kielce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia come out ahead of Korona Kielce on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CSKA Sofia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 18%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Korona Kielce
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.85 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Korona Kielce
0:2
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Korona Kielce vs CSKA Sofia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Stepinski M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 85 / 100
Korona Kielce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Korona Kielce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: CSKA Sofia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

CSKA Sofia found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Korona Kielce let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Korona Kielce
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
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Korona Kielce

(Away)
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1
Korona Kielce
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Wisla
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