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CSKA Sofia vs Marek

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia play Marek in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSKA Sofia averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Marek averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, CSKA Sofia won 4, Marek won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 30, 2014 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for CSKA Sofia and 0.67 for Marek. This points to a CSKA Sofia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
CSKA Sofia
22%
Draws
28%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia picked up more points recently compared to Marek.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.67 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 28%
Marek Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Marek
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2014 efbet League
Marek vs CSKA Sofia
0:0
Aug 22, 2014 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Marek
5:0
Jun 21, 2014 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Marek
2:1
Apr 25, 2008 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Marek
4:0
Nov 3, 2007 efbet League
Marek vs CSKA Sofia
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sensi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panayotov P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Marek Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 51 / 100
Marek 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Marek

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSKA Sofia or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSKA Sofia attacking → ← attacking Marek

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Marek let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

CSKA Sofia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Marek lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 39
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.71
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00