Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia vs Marek

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sensi S.
'
'

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
CSKA Sofia
20%
Draws
35%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia have won more games recently than Marek.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSKA Sofia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 19%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Marek
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.79 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Marek
3:0
Nov 30, 2014 efbet League
Marek vs CSKA Sofia
0:0
Aug 22, 2014 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Marek
5:0
Jun 21, 2014 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Marek
2:1
Apr 25, 2008 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Marek
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sensi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panayotov P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Marek Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 85 / 100
Marek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: CSKA Sofia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

CSKA Sofia found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Marek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Marek
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
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Marek

(Away)
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
23 Aug
Marek
4 : 2
Dobrudzha
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