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CSKA Sofia vs Novi Pazar

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jan 23, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia host Novi Pazar in the Club Friendly. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Novi Pazar have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while CSKA Sofia have conceded 1.12 and scored 1.54. Past meetings favor CSKA Sofia slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 23, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.30 - 0.53) back CSKA Sofia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
CSKA Sofia
15%
Draws
37%
Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia have won more games recently than Novi Pazar.
  • Win probability leans CSKA Sofia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Novi Pazar
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.54 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Novi Pazar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 76 / 100
Novi Pazar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Novi Pazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSKA Sofia scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Novi Pazar let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

CSKA Sofia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Novi Pazar
1.75 Goals Scored 0.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0
CSKA Sofia
16 Aug
CSKA Sofia
5 : 0
Botev Vratsa
13 Aug
CSKA Sofia
1 : 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia
06 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia
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Novi Pazar

(Away)
17 Aug
Novi Pazar
2 : 0
Vojvodina
08 Aug
Crvena zvezda
2 : 0
Novi Pazar
01 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 4
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
26 Jul
Mladost Lucani
0 : 0
Novi Pazar
18 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 0
Radnicki 1923
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