Sport Picks

Europe

Europa League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia

CSKA Sofia

Thu, Jul 30, 2026

1 - 0

06:00 PM

Qarabag Agdam

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Jordao B.

48'

Godoy L.

50'

Jankovic M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

CSKA Sofia

15%

Draws

46%

Qarabag Agdam

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Qarabag Agdam haven't matched CSKA Sofia's recent run of results.
Win probability leans CSKA Sofia's way, sitting at 90%.
CSKA Sofia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Qarabag Agdam, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSKA Sofia	Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played	26	26
Wins	16	13
Draws	4	4
Losses	6	9
Goals Scored	1.81	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.19	1.15
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Europa League

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam

1:0

Jul 23, 2026 Europa League

Qarabag Agdam vs CSKA Sofia

0:0

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam

0:0

Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam

0:1

Jul 7, 2021 Club Friendly

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 95 / 100

Qarabag Agdam 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSKA Sofia Qarabag Agdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Qarabag Agdam let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

CSKA Sofia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Qarabag Agdam

2.13 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)

12 Sept

CSKA Sofia

4 : 1

Arda

09 Sept

Levski Sofia

2 : 4

CSKA Sofia

05 Sept

Spartak Varna

1 : 1

CSKA Sofia

30 Aug

CSKA Sofia

3 : 1

Cherno More

27 Aug

CSKA Sofia

0 : 2

OFI Crete

Page 1 of 6

Qarabag Agdam

(Away)

06 Sept

Qarabag Agdam

3 : 2

Araz PFK

31 Aug

SumQayit FK

0 : 1

Qarabag Agdam

27 Aug

Qarabag Agdam

1 : 4

Twente

20 Aug

Twente

0 : 1

Qarabag Agdam

17 Aug

Qarabag Agdam

3 : 1

Shamakhi

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente -

TBD -

Vojvodina 1

Ferencvaros 5

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 3

Zilina 2

TBD -

Pafos -

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 1

Universitatea Cluj 0

TBD -

PAOK -

Hammarby -

TBD -

Anderlecht -

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso -

TBD -

Hradec Kralove -

Besiktas -

TBD -

Midtjylland -

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen -

TBD -

Benfica -

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 1

Aluminij 0

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

Qarabag Agdam 6

Vestri 0

CSKA Sofia 5

Derry City 3

Quarter-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Twente 3

Ferencvaros 4

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

KuPS -

TBD -

Univ. Craiova -

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps -

TBD -

Omonia -

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers -

TBD -

KF Egnatia -

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia -

TBD -

Rangers -

Larne -

TBD -

Iberia 1999 -

Mjallby -

TBD -

Hajduk Split 2

Pafos 4

TBD -

Salzburg -

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

Dynamo Kyiv 2

PAOK 5

Hammarby 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan -

TBD -

Klaksvik -

Thun -

TBD -

Vikingur Reykjavik -

Tromso 1

Hradec Kralove 4

Besiktas 3

Midtjylland 0

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

St. Gallen 2

Benfica 6

TBD -

Hearts -

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Sheriff Tiraspol 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 6

Qarabag Agdam 0

CSKA Sofia 1

Semi-finals

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Ferencvaros 2

Gornik Zabrze 1

KuPS 2

Univ. Craiova 3

TBD -

Ararat-Armenia -

St. Truiden -

TBD -

Lincoln Red Imps 1

Omonia 2

Crvena zvezda -

TBD -

Plzen -

Shamrock Rovers 4

KF Egnatia 6

TBD -

Lillestrom -

Jagiellonia 3

Rangers 2

Larne 1

Iberia 1999 2

Mjallby -

TBD -

Pafos 3

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty -

TBD -

PAOK 2

Anderlecht 4

Lech Poznan 6

Klaksvik 0

Thun 5

Vikingur Reykjavik 3

Hradec Kralove 0

Besiktas 2

TBD -

FK Kauno Zalgiris -

Benfica 7

Hearts 2

TBD -

Aarhus -

OFI Crete -

TBD -

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

CSKA Sofia 4

Final

Trabzonspor 0

Ferencvaros 5

Univ. Craiova 1

Ararat-Armenia 2

St. Truiden 3

Omonia 4

Crvena zvezda 4

Plzen 5

KF Egnatia 1

Lillestrom 2

Jagiellonia 6

Iberia 1999 1

Mjallby 0

Salzburg 4

Kairat Almaty 0

Anderlecht 6

Lech Poznan 9

Thun 2

Besiktas 3

FK Kauno Zalgiris 1

Benfica 6

Aarhus 2

OFI Crete 5

CSKA Sofia 0

CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam

Europe

CSKA Sofia

Qarabag Agdam

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

Qarabag Agdam

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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