Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Alexandria vs Academica Bals

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CSM Alexandria
15%
Draws
20%
Academica Bals
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Alexandria lately — more wins on the board than Academica Bals.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on CSM Alexandria taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 19%
Academica Bals Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Academica Bals
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Academica Bals
0:0
Sep 26, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Academica Bals vs CSM Alexandria
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 76 / 100
Academica Bals 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Academica Bals

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Alexandria's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Academica Bals let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: CSM Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Academica Bals has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS Academica Bals
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 6

Academica Bals

(Away)
25 Sept
CSM Targu Jiu
1 : 0
Academica Bals
22 Sept
Academica Bals
0 : 2
Jiul Petrosani
18 Sept
Unirea Bascov
3 : 1
Academica Bals
11 Sept
Academica Bals
5 : 0
Petrolul Hartiesti
05 Sept
CS U Craiova 2
3 : 1
Academica Bals
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS U Craiova 2 20 15 4 1 37:16 49
2 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 20 12 7 1 41:19 43
3 Academica Bals 20 12 5 3 35:18 41
4 LPS HD Clinceni 20 12 3 5 44:19 39
5 CSM Alexandria 20 10 6 4 35:19 36
6 Curtisoara 20 8 4 8 28:31 28
7 Progresul Spartac 20 8 2 10 33:33 26
8 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 20 5 2 13 19:38 17
9 Adunatii-Copaceni 20 4 1 15 16:36 13
10 CSO Filiasi 20 3 2 15 15:42 11
11 Nanov 20 2 2 16 13:45 8
12 FC U Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 -106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)