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CSM Alexandria vs Academica Bals

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Alexandria play Academica Bals in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSM Alexandria averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Academica Bals averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Alexandria won 0, Academica Bals won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 12, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for CSM Alexandria and 1.13 for Academica Bals. This points to a CSM Alexandria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CSM Alexandria
21%
Draws
39%
Academica Bals
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria picked up more points recently compared to Academica Bals.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 21%
Academica Bals Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Academica Bals
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Academica Bals
0:0
Sep 26, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Academica Bals vs CSM Alexandria
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 40 / 100
Academica Bals 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Academica Bals

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSM Alexandria or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Alexandria attacking → ← attacking Academica Bals

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Alexandria scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Academica Bals let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

CSM Alexandria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Academica Bals lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 50
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CS U Craiova 220154137:1649
2Cetatea Turnu Magurele20127141:1943
3Academica Bals20125335:1841
4LPS HD Clinceni20123544:1939
5CSM Alexandria20106435:1936
6Curtisoara2084828:3128
7Progresul Spartac20821033:3326
8SCM Dunarea Giurgiu20521319:3817
9Adunatii-Copaceni20411516:3613
10CSO Filiasi20321515:4211
11Nanov20221613:458
12FC U Craiova00000:0-106