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CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Cernica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 3 2012/2013 game between CSM Alexandria and Progresul Cernica finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CSM Alexandria
15%
Draws
0%
Progresul Cernica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Progresul Cernica haven't matched CSM Alexandria's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CSM Alexandria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 20%
Progresul Cernica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Progresul Cernica
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.71 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 3
CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Cernica
3:0
Oct 19, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Cernica vs CSM Alexandria
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 85 / 100
Progresul Cernica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Progresul Cernica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Progresul Cernica conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Progresul Cernica's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

CSM Alexandria found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
02 Oct
Voluntari 2
0 : 2
CSM Alexandria
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Cernica

(Away)
16 Jul
Viitorul Buzau
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
11 Apr
Progresul Cernica
0 : 3
Axintele
04 Apr
Voluntari
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
28 Mar
Progresul Cernica
0 : 3
Afumati
22 Mar
Rapid Fetesti
3 : 0
Progresul Cernica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berceni 24 18 3 3 52:22 57
2 FC Caracal 24 12 6 6 32:20 42
3 Balotesti 24 12 5 7 37:23 41
4 Inter Clinceni 24 10 5 9 27:34 35
5 Stefanesti 24 12 5 7 37:26 32
6 Progresul Cernica 24 10 2 12 33:37 32
7 Voluntari 24 7 10 7 30:25 31
8 Afumati 24 10 8 6 50:28 29
9 Visina Noua 24 8 9 7 35:27 24
10 Viitorul Domnesti 24 10 2 12 27:38 23
11 CSM Alexandria 24 4 6 14 26:43 18
12 Concordia 2 24 2 6 16 18:57 12
13 Tunari 24 5 5 14 31:55 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie 1 2013/2014 (Main)