Sport Picks
CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Spartac Prediction & H2H Stats
Romania
Liga 3 - Seria 5 
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 - Seria 5 game between CSM Alexandria and Progresul Spartac finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Alexandria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Alexandria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- CSM Alexandria have managed 1.7 goals a game lately — Progresul Spartac are scoring more at 2.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- CSM Alexandria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 13%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CSM Alexandria | Progresul Spartac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Spartac
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs CSM Alexandria
2:3
Dec 5, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Spartac
3:0
Sep 23, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs CSM Alexandria
0:1
May 9, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Progresul Spartac
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CSM Alexandria 35 / 100
Progresul Spartac 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CSM Alexandria Progresul Spartac
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Progresul Spartac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Progresul Spartac conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
CSM Alexandria scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
CSM Alexandria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
CSM Alexandria VS Progresul Spartac
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
CSM Alexandria
(Home) 25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0 Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3 CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0 CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0 Adunatii-Copaceni
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
28 Aug
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2 Progresul Mogosoaia
08 May
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0 CSO Filiasi
Page 1 of 3
Progresul Spartac
(Away) 26 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1 FCSB 2
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
19 Sept
Progresul Spartac
0 : 1 Omega Sport
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2 Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0 Progresul Spartac
19 Aug
Blaj
1 : 3 Progresul Spartac
05 Aug
Bolintin Vale
1 : 3 Progresul Spartac
15 May
Adunatii-Copaceni
0 : 8 Progresul Spartac
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 14 |
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 13 |
| 3 | SCM Dunarea Giurgiu | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 4 | CSM Alexandria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 5 | Adunatii-Copaceni | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Din. Bucuresti 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 |
| 8 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 9 | Progresul Spartac | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Voluntari 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 12 | FCSB 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)
