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CSM Alexandria vs Ralbex - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010 game between CSM Alexandria and Ralbex finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
CSM Alexandria
15%
Draws
32%
Ralbex
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSM Alexandria a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 20%
Ralbex Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Ralbex
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.64 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Ralbex
1:0
Sep 11, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Ralbex vs CSM Alexandria
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 85 / 100
Ralbex 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Ralbex

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Alexandria scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Ralbex conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CSM Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
02 Oct
Voluntari 2
0 : 2
CSM Alexandria
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

Ralbex

(Away)
09 Aug
Ralbex
0 : 3
Matasari
11 Jun
Oltchim Ramnicu
5 : 0
Ralbex
04 Jun
Ralbex
3 : 0
Juventus Bascov
28 May
Campionii Arges 2
2 : 1
Ralbex
21 May
Ralbex
1 : 0
Prometeu Craiova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olt Slatina 34 23 9 2 75:27 78
2 FCM Targoviste 34 24 4 6 58:20 76
3 Triumf Barca 34 18 5 11 53:37 59
4 Visina Noua 34 17 4 13 45:32 55
5 Oltchim Ramnicu 34 17 4 13 54:51 55
6 Prometeu Craiova 34 14 12 8 44:27 54
7 Campionii Arges 2 34 16 5 13 54:48 53
8 CSM Alexandria 34 13 10 11 39:31 49
9 Albota 34 13 9 12 41:36 48
10 FC Caracal 34 14 6 14 44:42 48
11 Ghecon Lapusata 34 14 6 14 48:44 48
12 Matasari 34 14 5 15 37:40 47
13 Progresul Corabia 34 14 4 16 57:55 46
14 Ralbex 34 12 7 15 44:49 43
15 Minerul Motru 34 12 5 17 72:63 41
16 Armata Craiova 33 7 8 18 30:55 29
17 CS U Craiova 2 34 6 3 25 33:73 21
18 Juventus Bascov 33 3 2 28 12:110 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2010/2011 (Main)