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CSM Alexandria vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 game between CSM Alexandria and SCM Dunarea Giurgiu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SCM Dunarea Giurgiu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
CSM Alexandria
35%
Draws
31%
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 15%
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2:2
Apr 24, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu vs CSM Alexandria
0:4
Sep 5, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu vs CSM Alexandria
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 30 / 100
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria SCM Dunarea Giurgiu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Alexandria's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

SCM Dunarea Giurgiu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CSM Alexandria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
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SCM Dunarea Giurgiu

(Away)
26 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 1
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
23 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
2 : 2
Oxigen Bucuresti
04 Sept
LPS HD Clinceni
1 : 3
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
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