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CSM Alexandria vs Sporting Rosiori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025 Turnu Măgurele Municipal Stadium, Turnu Măgurele
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AI Match Summary

CSM Alexandria in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSM Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CSM Alexandria
20%
Draws
23%
Sporting Rosiori
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Alexandria lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Rosiori.
  • Win probability leans CSM Alexandria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSM Alexandria here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Rosiori Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Sporting Rosiori
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.65 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Sporting Rosiori
4:0
Sep 7, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sporting Rosiori vs CSM Alexandria
0:2
May 12, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 6
CSM Alexandria vs Sporting Rosiori
4:0
Apr 29, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Sporting Rosiori vs CSM Alexandria
1:5
Apr 7, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 6
CSM Alexandria vs Sporting Rosiori
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 85 / 100
Sporting Rosiori 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Sporting Rosiori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Rosiori has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

CSM Alexandria scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Recent resilience: CSM Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
02 Oct
Voluntari 2
0 : 2
CSM Alexandria
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
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Sporting Rosiori

(Away)
30 Jul
Sporting Rosiori
1 : 3
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
24 May
Sporting Rosiori
4 : 6
LPS HD Clinceni
17 May
Petrolul Potcoava
1 : 1
Sporting Rosiori
10 May
Sporting Rosiori
1 : 0
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
02 May
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
4 : 1
Sporting Rosiori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Alexandria 18 11 5 2 37:11 38
2 Progresul Spartac 18 12 2 4 24:12 38
3 CS Din. Bucuresti 18 11 2 5 35:21 35
4 Vedita Colonesti 18 7 6 5 29:18 27
5 Curtisoara 18 7 5 6 24:19 26
6 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 18 6 5 7 17:25 23
7 LPS HD Clinceni 18 7 1 10 23:32 22
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 18 6 2 10 21:30 20
9 Petrolul Potcoava 18 4 5 9 19:25 17
10 Sporting Rosiori 18 2 1 15 11:47 7
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)