Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Bacau vs Branesti

Romania Romania

Liga 2/Serie A 2011/2012
Sat, May 19, 2012
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Bacau host Branesti in the Liga 2/Serie A 2011/2012. This has CSM Bacau written all over it on paper. Branesti have shipped 2.27 goals a game lately, while CSM Bacau have conceded 2 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, CSM Bacau have won 1 to Branesti's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 19, 2012, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.42 vs 1.31, favoring CSM Bacau. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CSM Bacau
15%
Draws
0%
Branesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Bacau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Branesti haven't matched CSM Bacau's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CSM Bacau's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga 2/Serie A 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 18%
Branesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Bacau Branesti
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.41 0.57
Goals Conceded 2 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2012 Liga 2/Serie 1
CSM Bacau vs Branesti
3:0
Nov 12, 2011 Liga 2/Serie 1
Branesti vs CSM Bacau
3:1
Apr 17, 2010 Liga 2/Serie 1
CSM Bacau vs Branesti
1:1
Sep 26, 2009 Liga 2/Serie 1
Branesti vs CSM Bacau
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Bacau 36 / 100
Branesti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Bacau Branesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Branesti conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Branesti registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

CSM Bacau scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

CSM Bacau VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Bacau

(Home)
30 Jul
CSM Vaslui
15 : 0
CSM Bacau
17 May
CSM Bacau
2 : 3
FC Bacau
10 May
Gloria Ultra
2 : 3
CSM Bacau
03 May
Stiinta Miroslava
3 : 2
CSM Bacau
25 Apr
FC Bacau
3 : 0
CSM Bacau
Page 1 of 7

Branesti

(Away)
01 Aug
Voluntari
3 : 0
Branesti
02 Jun
CS Otopeni
3 : 0
Branesti
26 May
Branesti
0 : 3
Viitorul Constanta
19 May
CSM Bacau
3 : 0
Branesti
16 May
Branesti
0 : 3
Poli Iasi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viitorul Constanta 30 17 10 3 55:18 61
2 Poli Iasi 30 19 4 7 51:26 61
3 Delta Tulcea 30 17 8 5 55:28 59
4 CS Navodari 30 14 7 9 47:33 49
5 FC Botosani 30 13 9 8 42:31 48
6 Braila 30 15 3 12 47:40 48
7 CSM Bacau 30 13 6 11 43:31 45
8 Farul Constanta 30 11 11 8 45:42 44
9 Callatis Mangalia 30 13 4 13 43:41 43
10 Dunarea Galati 30 11 7 12 38:40 40
11 Dunarea Giurgiu 30 10 6 14 36:48 36
12 CS Otopeni 30 10 5 15 37:44 35
13 Din. Bucuresti 2 30 8 10 12 32:35 34
14 Vointa Snagov 30 7 6 17 32:60 27
15 FC Buzau 30 6 5 19 26:62 23
16 Branesti 30 4 3 23 17:67 15
Promotion - Liga 1 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 1 2012/2013 (Main)