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CSM Bacau vs Gloria Ultra

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Bacau play Gloria Ultra in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSM Bacau averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Gloria Ultra averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Bacau won 2, Gloria Ultra won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 10, 2025 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for CSM Bacau and 1.94 for Gloria Ultra. This points to a CSM Bacau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CSM Bacau
32%
Draws
29%
Gloria Ultra
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: CSM Bacau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Bacau picked up more points recently compared to Gloria Ultra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 10%
Gloria Ultra Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Bacau Gloria Ultra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacau
2:3
Apr 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Gloria Ultra
3:3
Mar 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacau
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Gloria Ultra
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacau
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Bacau 37 / 100
Gloria Ultra 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Bacau Gloria Ultra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSM Bacau or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Bacau attacking → ← attacking Gloria Ultra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Bacau scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Gloria Ultra let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

CSM Bacau went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gloria Ultra lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 37
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Bacau970223:1165
2Stiinta Miroslava951317:1253
3CSM Bacau932415:2044
4Gloria Ultra911712:2434