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CSM Bacau vs Gloria Ultra

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 game between CSM Bacau and Gloria Ultra finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
CSM Bacau
6%
Draws
90%
Gloria Ultra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gloria Ultra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSM Bacau come out ahead of Gloria Ultra on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gloria Ultra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CSM Bacau Clean Sheet 14%
Gloria Ultra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Bacau Gloria Ultra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacau
2:3
Apr 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Gloria Ultra
3:3
Mar 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacau
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Bacau vs Gloria Ultra
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Gloria Ultra vs CSM Bacau
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Bacau 10 / 100
Gloria Ultra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Bacau Gloria Ultra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GLO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Gloria Ultra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

CSM Bacau scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gloria Ultra conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CSM Bacau VS Gloria Ultra
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Bacau970223:1165
2Stiinta Miroslava951317:1253
3CSM Bacau932415:2044
4Gloria Ultra911712:2434