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CSM Deva vs Aurul Brad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023
CSM Deva Logo

CSM Deva

5 - 3
FT
Aurul Brad Logo

Aurul Brad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023 game between CSM Deva and Aurul Brad finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Deva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CSM Deva
20%
Draws
44%
Aurul Brad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurul Brad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • CSM Deva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSM Deva a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CSM Deva have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
CSM Deva Clean Sheet 15%
Aurul Brad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Deva Aurul Brad
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 14 3
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.22 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 7
CSM Deva vs Aurul Brad
5:3
Aug 26, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Aurul Brad vs CSM Deva
1:3
Mar 11, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 7
CSM Deva vs Aurul Brad
2:1
Oct 9, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 7
Aurul Brad vs CSM Deva
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Deva 48 / 100
Aurul Brad 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Deva Aurul Brad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Deva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurul Brad has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

CSM Deva scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

CSM Deva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Deva VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Deva

(Home)
03 Oct
CSM Deva
5 : 1
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
30 Sept
Campionii Arges
2 : 1
CSM Deva
26 Sept
Blaj
5 : 5
CSM Deva
22 Sept
CSM Deva
0 : 3
Unirea Santana
18 Sept
Univ. Alba Iulia
0 : 0
CSM Deva
Page 1 of 8

Aurul Brad

(Away)
02 Aug
Orasului Geoagiu
3 : 1
Aurul Brad
27 May
Progresul Ezeris
2 : 5
Aurul Brad
20 May
Aurul Brad
1 : 5
Vointa Lupac
12 May
Jiul Petrosani
0 : 3
Aurul Brad
06 May
Aurul Brad
0 : 1
Viitorul Targu Jiu II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Deva 18 14 4 0 62:9 46
2 CSO Filiasi 18 12 1 5 45:28 37
3 Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 18 11 3 4 31:23 36
4 Viitorul Simian 18 11 1 6 49:29 34
5 Jiul Petrosani 18 8 4 6 31:21 28
6 Vointa Lupac 18 8 3 7 30:23 27
7 Aurul Brad 18 4 2 12 27:56 14
8 Retezatul Hateg 18 3 4 11 23:34 13
9 Viitorul Targu Jiu II 18 3 2 13 19:62 11
10 Progresul Ezeris 18 2 4 12 11:43 10
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)