Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Focsani vs Midia Navodari

Romania Romania

Liga 2/Serie 1 2004/2005 Milcovul Stadium, Focsani
Sat, Apr 23, 2005
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Focsani host Midia Navodari in the Liga 2/Serie 1 2004/2005. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Midia Navodari have shipped 2.3 goals a game lately, while CSM Focsani have conceded 1.41 and scored 0.66. Past meetings favor Midia Navodari slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2005, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.06, favoring CSM Focsani. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CSM Focsani
20%
Draws
0%
Midia Navodari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSM Focsani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Focsani lately — more wins on the board than Midia Navodari.
  • CSM Focsani are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Midia Navodari have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
CSM Focsani Clean Sheet 20%
Midia Navodari Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Focsani Midia Navodari
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 25
Goals Scored 0.66 0.2
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2005 Liga 2/Serie 1
CSM Focsani vs Midia Navodari
0:3
Oct 2, 2004 Liga 2/Serie 1
Midia Navodari vs CSM Focsani
1:0
Apr 10, 2004 Liga 2/Serie 1
Midia Navodari vs CSM Focsani
3:1
Sep 20, 2003 Liga 2/Serie 1
CSM Focsani vs Midia Navodari
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Focsani 85 / 100
Midia Navodari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Focsani Midia Navodari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Focsani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Midia Navodari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Midia Navodari registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: CSM Focsani scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Focsani VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Focsani

(Home)
30 Jul
Adjud
3 : 0
CSM Focsani
10 May
CSM Focsani
1 : 2
Corvinul Hunedoara
26 Apr
CSC Dumbravita
0 : 0
CSM Focsani
18 Apr
CSM Focsani
1 : 1
FC Bihor
12 Apr
Metalul Buzau
3 : 0
CSM Focsani
Page 1 of 6

Midia Navodari

(Away)
03 Jun
Midia Navodari
0 : 3
Callatis Mangalia
27 May
AS Petrolul Moinesti
3 : 0
Midia Navodari
24 May
Midia Navodari
0 : 3
Cetatea Suceava
20 May
Dunarea Galati
3 : 0
Midia Navodari
13 May
Ceahlaul
3 : 0
Midia Navodari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Vaslui 30 19 7 4 49:20 64
2 Midia Navodari 30 15 9 6 41:26 54
3 Dunarea Galati 30 15 7 8 39:32 52
4 Braila 30 14 8 8 43:20 50
5 Ceahlaul 30 13 7 10 34:20 46
6 FC Buzau 30 12 10 8 38:25 46
7 AS Petrolul Moinesti 30 13 7 10 35:26 46
8 Callatis Mangalia 30 11 13 6 34:24 46
9 FC Botosani 30 13 6 11 31:22 45
10 CSM Sacele 30 11 9 10 28:25 42
11 Altay Constanta 30 10 9 11 37:42 39
12 FCM Targoviste 30 8 10 12 28:42 34
13 Roman 30 9 6 15 29:35 33
14 CS Ghimbav 30 5 9 16 26:47 24
15 CSM Focsani 30 6 6 18 17:44 24
16 CS Politehnica 30 4 1 25 18:77 13
Promotion - Liga 1 2005/2006 (Main)