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CSM Focsani vs Sutesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Focsani play Sutesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 2 2023/2024. CSM Focsani are favorites here. Recently, CSM Focsani averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Sutesti averaged 1 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Focsani won 2, Sutesti won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 3, 2023 ended 10:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for CSM Focsani and 1.06 for Sutesti. This points to a CSM Focsani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
CSM Focsani
18%
Draws
24%
Sutesti
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: CSM Focsani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Focsani picked up more points recently compared to Sutesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
CSM Focsani Clean Sheet 22%
Sutesti Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Focsani Sutesti
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Focsani vs Sutesti
10:0
Sep 2, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sutesti vs CSM Focsani
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Focsani 57 / 100
Sutesti 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Focsani Sutesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Focsani Win (1)
Secondary Pick CSM Focsani & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Focsani attacking → ← attacking Sutesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Focsani scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Sutesti let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

CSM Focsani went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sutesti lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 18
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Metalul Buzau18161166:649
2CSM Focsani18140458:1642
3Sporting Liesti18112539:2835
4Unirea Branistea1893641:2730
5CSM Ramnicu Sarat1892747:3429
6Braila18711026:3622
7Hamangia Baia18611123:7219
8Vointa Limpezis18431124:4715
9Viitorul Ianca18421223:3714
10Sutesti18211514:587