Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Resita vs Concordia

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Mircea Chivu Stadium, Reșița
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Elton
40'
Pop I.
43'
Lazar R.

AI Match Summary

Concordia in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concordia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CSM Resita
15%
Draws
42%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Resita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Concordia lately — more wins on the board than CSM Resita.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CSM Resita have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CSM Resita Clean Sheet 10%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Resita Concordia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.4 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Resita vs Concordia
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 2
CSM Resita vs Concordia
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga 2
CSM Resita vs Concordia
3:1
Sep 23, 2023 Liga 2
CSM Resita vs Concordia
3:2
Apr 17, 2021 Liga 2
CSM Resita vs Concordia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSM Resita Compare

Top Goalscorer Elton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Resita 34 / 100
Concordia 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Resita Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concordia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSM Resita scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Concordia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: CSM Resita remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Resita VS Concordia
1.75 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Resita

(Home)
22 Sept
CSC Dumbravita
0 : 2
CSM Resita
15 Sept
CSM Resita
0 : 1
FC Bacau
05 Sept
Ramnicu Valcea
1 : 2
CSM Resita
29 Aug
CSM Resita
2 : 1
Steaua Bucuresti
22 Aug
Popesti Leordeni
4 : 1
CSM Resita
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Concordia

(Away)
19 Sept
Concordia
0 : 1
Metalul Buzau
12 Sept
CS Din. Bucuresti
2 : 5
Concordia
05 Sept
Concordia
1 : 2
Afumati
01 Sept
Progresul Spartac
2 : 5
Concordia
29 Aug
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 3
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC ASA Tg. Mures 7 4 2 1 16:7 51
2 Metalul Buzau 7 6 0 1 16:6 50
3 CSM Slatina 7 5 2 0 13:4 43
4 Poli Iasi 7 3 1 3 7:6 41
5 Gloria Bistrita 7 2 2 3 10:8 34
6 CS Din. Bucuresti 7 3 0 4 9:10 25
7 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 4:19 20
8 Campulung 7 0 1 6 4:19 11
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 7 3 0 4 7:11 42
2 Concordia 7 4 2 1 10:5 41
3 CSM Resita 7 2 1 4 6:10 40
4 Afumati 7 2 1 4 8:9 37
5 CSC Dumbravita 7 2 1 4 6:7 32
6 Selimbar 7 3 1 3 8:9 30
7 CSM Satu Mare 7 4 2 1 16:9 28
8 Tunari 7 3 2 2 9:10 27
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)