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CSM Satu Mare vs Somesul Dej

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CSM Satu Mare
35%
Draws
37%
Somesul Dej
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Somesul Dej

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Somesul Dej have won more games recently than CSM Satu Mare.
  • Win probability leans CSM Satu Mare's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Somesul Dej have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 19%
Somesul Dej Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Satu Mare Somesul Dej
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Somesul Dej
1:1
Sep 25, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Somesul Dej vs CSM Satu Mare
7:0
Apr 10, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Somesul Dej vs CSM Satu Mare
5:0
Oct 17, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Somesul Dej
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Satu Mare 36 / 100
Somesul Dej 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Satu Mare Somesul Dej

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Somesul Dej's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

CSM Satu Mare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Somesul Dej has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Satu Mare VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Satu Mare

(Home)
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
22 Aug
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 0
FC Bihor
Page 1 of 7

Somesul Dej

(Away)
21 May
Somesul Dej
3 : 1
Baia Mare
14 May
Baile Felix
2 : 0
Somesul Dej
07 May
CA Oradea
1 : 0
Somesul Dej
04 May
Baia Mare
2 : 0
Somesul Dej
30 Apr
Somesul Dej
0 : 0
Baile Felix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 18 13 3 2 57:20 42
2 CA Oradea 18 12 3 3 43:21 39
3 Somesul Dej 18 11 2 5 41:20 35
4 Baile Felix 18 8 5 5 38:23 29
5 SCM Zalau 18 9 1 8 44:35 28
6 Simleul Silvaniei 18 6 5 7 21:31 23
7 CFR Cluj II 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 CSM Satu Mare 18 4 6 8 24:33 18
9 Progresul Somcuta Mare 18 4 5 9 26:40 17
10 Luceafarul Oradea 18 0 1 17 6:73 -3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)